Can democracy survive the mess we’re in?

I’m thinking about the prospect of a no-deal Brexit (or indeed, Brexit itself), the inability to respond well to Covid, leading to “world beating” infection rates and economic decline, Trumpism (which is not limited to the USA), the tragically slow response to climate change, the prospect of the break-up of the United Kingdom and the obscene inequalities in wealth and opportunity that persist. In the UK, as in many other countries, we seem to be incapable of making fair and sensible collective decisions.

Why? Does it boil down to the self-centred ambition or mere incompetence of our politicians? To some extent, no doubt, it does, but it is far too easy to shift the blame in this way. Those who make decisions on our behalf are products of our own decisions in the ballot box. We entrust them with this responsibility, and they reflect our values.

If democracy is failing, then why? Can it be revived? In the world of the twenty-first century, has power swung decisively away from nationally elected politicians? If so, where does it now lie? How can the powerful be made accountable for the decisions they take?

For democracy to work, people need to understand and value it. We need to feel we are in a position to participate in our government, and to make properly informed decisions when we cast our votes. Political education at school is so important if this is to be acheived. It is vital that children and young people develop a sense of how their government functions, and why democracy is important. In the UK, we have not paid enough attention to this.

The way news and opinions are broadcast is also crucial. The mainstream media has too often given the impression that politicians as a breed cannot be trusted. This cynical atmosphere undermines democratic government.

The freedom of the press and broadcasting from political control has always been an important feature of democracies, but the arrival of electronic methods of communication means it is more important than ever. Also, it has also never been more difficult to achieve. Clever political marketing and spin, sometimes deliberately intended to mislead, can now with breath-taking speed be heard and seen by millions, giving new power to political opportunists.

We all have a tendency to justify the opinions we hold by seeking out other people who agree with us. The social media now make this much easier, with the result that prejudices are reinforced and mutual understanding is made more difficult.

Another challenge confronting democratic government is that national boundaries now matter much less than they did. Globalisation has profoundly changed our lives in a myriad of ways. The decisions made by individuals and businesses are increasingly only understandable when looked at within a global context. Most political decisions, however, are still made at the level of the nation state. This disjunction is highly significant, as it makes it much more difficult for politics to address the issues that matter most. To make matters worse, the power of trans-national political bodies like the United Nations, the World Health Organisation and the European Union seems to be reducing.

Whether and how democracy can survive these, and no doubt many other challenges, is far from clear. No-one can pretend to know how things will unfold in the decades to come. The mess we’re in, nationally and internationally, shows that things need to change. Perhaps we need a greater emphasis on collective action, and less on individual freedom, in order to take decisions in an effective and timely way.

There will be a price to pay, and without a new kind of political leadership we will not succeed. We need stable and courageous leadership based on values and an integrity we respect. A leadership that can take on the vested interests of the minority. The only way this is likely to happen is as a result of a significant change of mood in the country as a whole. The mess we’re in will probably have to deepen before that happens. Perhaps, in time, the present Covid crisis will prove to be a wake-up call.

Belonging

Research by the think-tank Onward has produced evidence to show that volunteering, social club membership and church attendance have been dropping significantly in recent years. Many more people are also now living on their own, and local shops and post offices are disappearing. One could add other factors, such as the increased centralization, and therefore remoteness, of Government. The study sees trends such as these as destructive to “social fabric” and our sense of community, particularly in the more deprived parts of the country, and as having damaging political consequences.

Belonging to a local community like a church and contributing to its activities demands tolerance and a willingness to compromise and work alongside others, qualities that are essential for a healthy society as a whole. These qualities are increasingly missing today, as trust in our institutions diminishes and anger, suspicion and fear grow.

Onward‘s report suggests that combating these tendencies should be a priority, and that greater emphasis should be given by Government to community renewal. No doubt this is important, and more support should be give to local community organisations. However, when it comes to church attendance (and, come to that, for mosque, synagogue or temple attendance as well), community renewal and a feeling of belonging may be an important consequence, and for some even a significant motivating factor, but at its heart is something quite different. Churches are religious organisations, and without a faith in God and a commitment to Christ, they and the sense of community they foster would not be possible.

The reality of God is the underlying source of welfare for human society. Without God and God’s care for us and our welfare, we have only ourselves to look to for standards and guidance for living. Some claim it is liberating to do away with God, but the fragility of a purely human foundation for living makes it deeply unsatisfying and dangerous.

We may congratulate ourselves on the moral and humanitarian progress we have achieved over time, but our record is a mixed one, and historically, attempts to build society on explicitly godless foundations have generally been disastrous. Admittedly, the power of religion has not always been used for good, but frequently those who have led the most significant social progress have been men and women of faith. Principles and standards we invent or develop for ourselves carry no authority other than what we choose from time to time to give them. There have been, and are, many different notions about what makes for a good life and a good society. Without God, there is no reliable basis for distinguishing them from each other.

In practice, God’s guidance is not easy to discern, and those who claim to know it can be mistaken. Those who do not acknowledge God at all can of course contribute to a good and just society. Nevertheless, without a foundation to our personal and social welfare that ultimately derives from God, we are lost.

Policy initiatives aimed at renewing a sense of community are important and deserve support. Our most important responsibilities, however, are to bear witness to God and God’s love for us as the only secure foundation for good human relationships, and with humility and resolve to try to build on that foundation.

Peter Shepherd (September 2020)

Politics and Big Data

The world is going through a communication revolution. It affects almost everything we do, and is shaking up our social and economic life in profound and often unpredictable ways. Covid-19 has accelerated the process as on-line traffic has grown.

Business has responded eagerly to the opportunity. Global corporations with the ability to profit from the manipulation of the massive quantities of data now available dominate the commercial landscape, and a bewildering array of new businesses rush to claim a stake in this twenty-first century gold rush. Marketing techniques grow ever more sophisticated and new products become available, all bringing with them their own terminology.

Commercial interests are only part of the story. Social relationships and leisure activities have been transformed. Criminals are naturally keen to get involved. Politics is also changing. Those seeking power who are able to gain access to big data, and to analyse and effectively make use of them, have a decisive advantage. It enables them to understand and shape our needs, fears and desires, and so to influence how we vote. None of us are immune from being influenced in this way, any more than we are by other kinds of advertising. Why else would Governments and political parties take so seriously those who have the skills to help them in this way?

Politicians have always sought popularity by identifying and making use of people’s fears and ambitions. The difference now is that the tools available are much more effective, and the scale and speed with which this can be done has dramatically increased. There is a worrying international dimension to it, as Governments try to influence political life in other countries. Domestically, in the UK as in other countries, it is vitally important to be aware of the new powers available to our politicians, and to understand their significance, so that their wrong use can be curtailed and democracy protected.

The outcomes the Brexit referendum and the 2020 election, and probably elections before that, were more a consequence of the collection and analysis of data, accompanied by the effective management of communication, than anything else. The use of focus groups, professionally designed slogans, targeted communication and carefully controlled press briefings illustrate this. The lack of meaningful accountability, especially when it comes to social media, also raises the danger of “fake” news, designed to manipulate public opinion. The most useful are not out-and-out lies, but attempts to mislead or obscure the truth, although even blatant, easily disproved untruths can often be effective.

A particularly worrying trend reported in the press recently are the steps being taken by the British Government to keep all official communication firmly under centralized control, so that nothing will emerge from different Departments or the Civil Service except that which has the sanction of 10 Downing Street or the Cabinet Office. This is more than merely an attempt to ensure that the message is a consistent one, something which governments have always tried to do. The ability to manage information and control communication has given unprecedented power to a few individuals at the centre. It threatens the respect owing to independent judgement and expression, even within the corridors of Whitehall, a respect necessary for healthy government.

The powers now available to governments have grown enormously, and it is important to remember that a balance of power is essential for any country that values its freedom. Allowing dissenting views and a variety of opinion to be heard are essential. In principle, this will no doubt be accepted by most politicians, but protecting this freedom in practice is the responsibility of us all. Threats to it are not always obvious. The communication revolution we are going through requires us to think carefully what it means, and to take steps to make sure it is not being undermined by the powers now available to those who exercise political power over us.

The Legacy of Empire

What a disastrous time for the UK! First, the down-grading of public services due to the Government’s austerity programme, then the tragedy of Brexit, and now the ongoing mismanagement of Covid-19. How have we got into such a state? A huge number of people live in poverty with insecure employment and housing, the justice system is creaking at the seams, school and hospital buildings are falling apart and local councils have been stripped of their powers. We have turned our backs on our European neighbours, cast adrift into the dangerous seas of cut-throat global trade and we languish at the bottom of the Covid deaths league table. What a state to enter a crucial stage of confronting probably the most dangerous threat of all – global warming.

These are complicated issues. It’s tempting to look for villains to blame, but it’s more important to find the underlying reasons why we find ourselves in such a horrible situation. Boris and Dominic would be near the top of the list of villains, with their uncaring, gung-ho politicking. But deeper, institutional factors, some the consequence of our national history, or at least the way we tell it to ourselves, are more significant. A proud and unrealistic sense of who we are and our place in the world is doing us untold harm.

Domestically, a corrosive inequality exists, not just in wealth, although that is an important part of it, but in terms of privilege. An outdated class system lies at the heart of it. Status and power still belong, predominantly, to far too small a section of society, mostly privately educated white men who assume their birthright is the right to rule. There is a sad lack of understanding about the reality of life for the many people who live and work outside the circle of the privileged. The elite cultivate the friendship of the rich and they make use of their considerable political instincts to maintain their position. A successful tactic has been the promotion of Britishness and British values, which they claim to embody, as better than anything anyone else has to offer.

Linked to this is the legacy of Empire. Boosted by resilience and victory in two world wars, the notion that we represent the pinnacle of civilization has been encouraged. After all, we possess the “Mother of Parliaments”, we were the cradle of the Industrial Revolution and we once ruled a quarter of the world’s population. No doubt this gives us British much to be proud of, but also much of which to be ashamed – wealth derived from the cruel use of superior military hardware and the use of slave labour among the worst examples. There is, and really never has been, any room for any feelings of superiority or self-satisfaction. If the response to Covid-19 has taught us anything, it is that we have a great deal to learn from others.

So what is to be done? Only radical measures are likely to overcome such fundamental problems, and that won’t happen in a hurry. Powerful vested interests are naturally resistant to change. Might Covid-19 be the kind of crisis that makes change possible? Anyway, my suggestions would include reforming the House of Lords (so it’s no longer full of lords), abolishing the honours system, reducing the scale and expense of the monarchy, taking privileges away from private schools, taxing wealth and strengthening local Government. If we were able to do at least some of these things, our political life would be healthier and we would be better able to avoid the failures that have dogged our national life in recent years.

Against Extremism

Spring smashed all previous records for its hours of sunshine. An unexpected blessing for lock-down! This followed a less welcome record-breaking February, when rain fell incessantly, in a few places as much as four times more than the average.

Extremes in weather are not the only extremes we face. The historian Eric Hobsbawn described the twentieth century as The Age of Extremes. He wasn’t talking about the weather, of course, but primarily about political extremism and its consequences: two world wars, Nazism, Soviet Communism and the Cold War. The 1900’s were not unique in exhibiting such extremism, but increased technological and economic powers made the damage it did that much greater. Men with the political ambition and cruelty of Hitler and Stalin have always existed, but have not had the machinery of a modern industrial state to help them.

How you think of extremism depends on your experience and your understanding of what is normal. Three months of almost unrelenting sunshine is not at all extreme in many parts of the world, and some behaviour we consider normal now would be regarded as extremely odd or offensive by previous generations. People who speak out from beyond the boundary of what most consider normal may at the time be condemned as extremists, but they often have important things to say. Subsequent observers may well regard what was then considered normal by the majority to be extreme – slavery comes to mind. Notions of what extremism is changes over time, and from place to place. We might do well to consider it not in terms of particular behaviours, but in terms of its attitude towards those who disagree. Real extremists are those who have no respect for other points of view, no time to listen to them and are committed to fostering a spirit of animosity and confrontation. They may therefore be in the majority.

The twenty-first century has so far been no stranger to extremists, political or religious. They thrive on external threats of one kind or another, real or invented. Promising simple answers to complex problems, they widen divisions between groups of people, creating anger and resentment and sowing the seeds of conflict.

As threats to our safety and prosperity multiply in today’s world, a longing for heroes to slay the dragons causing our confusion and anxiety, and to return us to the world we once knew, is natural. The cry is for strong, charismatic leaders, proclaiming simple and inspiring battle cries. At times there is a need for such leadership, but real dangers lurk in the background. One such danger is the tendency to search for someone to blame, and to portray them as an enemy who to be silenced or defeated. In the UK, minority groups, immigrants or Muslims for example, are good candidates, or foreigners, represented by the European Union. Another danger is to over-simplify the issues involved. Slogans (“Get Brexit Done”, “Protect the NHS”) might have some role to play in inspiring and motivating support, but the idea that they are meaningful, or a reliable basis for action, is an illusion. A further danger is to polarise debate and demonise critics. All these are signs of extremism.

Even, and perhaps especially in the face of an urgent crisis like Covid-19, the willingness to listen to opposing points of view, to consult widely, to accept the need for compromise and, where possible, to achieve consensus is vital. Such principles in our national life, and in today’s global political culture, are in short supply.

The ingredients are present for the current century to be as much an age of extremism as the last. Co-operation and respect, both globally and nationally, are needed more than ever. Sadly, the signs are not hopeful. What is needed is an acceptance that other people, who have a different point of view from our own, may have something to say worth listening to, and might even be able to change our minds. We need to find the kind of leaders who will steer us away from extremism and towards a more inclusive, co-operative way of living.

After Covid

We won’t return to the way things were. New patterns of living, working and learning are becoming familiar. New skills are being learned, and obstacles overcome. Some businesses are prospering, but many are struggling to survive, and a lot won’t make it. In future it will be impossible to plan holidays and leisure activities as we used to. The profound economic and social changes we are facing are bound to have political and psychological consequences, and we will not be able to avoid the thought that it could all happen again. A theoretical threat has become a practical reality.

Individually, locally, nationally and globally, we face an unpredictable and challenging situation. At every level, choices are being made that will shape our future. It may seem to be largely a question of damage limitation, but in reality it is far more than that. New opportunities are presenting themselves that would never have arisen but for the virus. Already, some people are actively finding ways of making money or increasing influence at the expense of others, but fraudsters and opportunists should not be the only ones looking for ways to take advantage of the situation. We all have a responsibility to think about the kind of future we want beyond Covid-19.

The wider context needs to be taken into account. Globally, we were already facing the prospect of catastrophic climate change, and nationally, the economic consequences of Brexit. A vast amount is already being written about how to cope with all this. Here are a few preliminary thoughts about what our objectives should be and how they might be implemented.

First, “big government” is clearly here to stay. The challenges are too great and too profound to be left to market forces or voluntary effort to sort out. The resources of society as a whole must be marshaled to meet the need, and that requires strong government leadership and direction, particularly in achieving carbon neutrality, with all the changes in energy use that will entail.

We cannot afford to leave politics, which is, in the end, the way government functions, in the hands of a rich and powerful elite. They will inevitably want to protect their own interests, while the poor will suffer most as a result of the changes that have to be made. Broad political engagement and greater respect for our politicians should be encouraged as widely as possible, through the revitalisation of politics at the local level, Parliamentary and electoral reform at the national level and the maintenance of high standards of integrity in public life.

We are all in this together, globally and nationally. Sacrifices and adjustments will have to be made by everyone, and the burden should not fall disproportionately on already vulnerable people, whether they live in our own country and abroad. The scandal of inequality must be addressed by reducing the privileges of the already advantaged, sharing the world’s resources more fairly and helping the marginalised believe they have genuine stake in society. More determined efforts must be made to build justice and freedom where they are lacking, and organisations that promote these aims should receive the funding they need to do their job.

These are broad, wide-ranging objectives. If we are to move towards achieving them, institutions and practices of every kind need to be involved, and a change of attitude towards what it means to live well in the the world of tomorrow is required. I am not sure that even Covid-19 has been enough to make that move a substantial one, but it has, I hope, given us a nudge in the right direction. We all need to do our bit to try and make sure that this does not end up being a series of superficial economic measures trying and get us back to where we were. We must not waste the opportunity Covid-19 has given us to take a radical look at ourselves and our future on earth.

Peter Shepherd (May 2020)

The war against Covid-19

War is a dreadful thing. As well as its destructive power, however, it is also one of the driving forces behind technological advance and social change. Much of what we take for granted as part of our normal daily life is its direct or indirect result. When we turn on the radio, use the internet, boil a kettle (using electricity partly created by nuclear power), fly abroad, use satnav or take antibiotics, we are benefiting from technology created and developed, at least in part, for military reasons. War changes society in other ways too, transforming the way individuals, groups and nations relate to each other.

Mobilising for war has led to unexpected peace-time spin-offs, accelerating change, or making change possible, that would otherwise have taken much longer. Some of these changes have clearly been beneficial. Quite apart from technological advances, would votes for women, the establishment of the National Health Service or the formation of the United Nations have occurred when they did, were it not for the First and Second World Wars?

Today the country, and indeed the world, is at war against Covid-19, and it is likely that we will see similar significant social and technological change as a result. Working life has been disrupted for many, and is unlikely to return unaffected to pre-Covid-19 routines. Some jobs will be permanently lost as businesses fail, and working from home will probably become more common. Attitudes towards the medical and caring professions, and the role of Government, both national and local, are changing quite profoundly. As the resources of industry are enlisted to help the fight, new products and processes will emerge. Leisure and education have been radically affected, and while much may return to pre-Covid-19 practices, not everything will. International relations are also bound to change. On the one hand, the global nature of the threat forces us all to face our common humanity. On the other, national borders are closing, devastating international travel and trade, and hindering co-operation. All this will require fresh thinking and new priorities at every level of society, from Government to individual.

In church life, churches with the necessary skills are developing new ways of holding congregations together using social media. Services are being streamed on-line as never before. Most churches, however, with fewer and older members, struggle. If the need for social isolation continues for long, as seems likely, the habit of meeting regularly will be eroded. Many are discovering for the first time resources and opportunities for worship and fellowship without leaving home. The return to meeting together will be welcomed, but it is nonetheless hard to predict the consequences when restrictions are eased or lifted. As far as the witness of the Church is concerned, there are clearly new opportunities as people seek for answers in a world that seems far less secure and predictable.

We are in the early stage of the campaign against Covid-19, and it is impossible to tell what its long term impact will be. But it is already clear that the consequences will be considerable. In church life, as in other areas of society, those who are able to embrace the new opportunities that arise will prosper, and those who want to return to the way things were are likely to find it more difficult. We will all be glad to see the back of the virus – although the fear of another pandemic will surely remain with us for a long time – and most will probably be keen to return to “normality”, but it is very likely that a new normality will emerge. As with the long term consequences of more conventional wars, there will be important potential benefits. We need to hope and pray that we will be able to turn that potential into reality, in church life as everywhere else.

Democracy and Covid-19

Democratic government in the UK can only prosper when the country’s institutions are strong and functioning well. A healthy institutional life prevents ambitious individuals from gaining excessive personal power. Many of our most important institutions are closely connected to the Government itself – Parliament, the Civil Service, the Judiciary, the Police, Local Councils. It is vital, in the interests of democracy, that they have independent identities and clearly understood and defined responsibilities. Other institutions are more detached from Government. Some have a national role, like the BBC, the NHS, leading charities and Trades Unions, but most are more limited in scope. They are nonetheless important in maintaining a social structure within which democracy can operate.

Two processes are undermining these institutions. One is globalism, which has resulted in the creation of world-wide corporations beyond the political control of the UK, or any national government, other, perhaps, than China and the USA. Their financial muscle and their ability to shape opinion are huge and expanding. The other process is political opposition, which has the effect of a steady decline in respect and trust for these institutions. They are often depicted as wasteful, enemies of the interests of ordinary people and bastions of a minority’s self-interests.  Financial penalties follow.

There may be truth in some of these accusations, and reforms may need to be made. The overall effect of such “populist” attacks, however, is a fragmentation of society, which means that those who seek power can appeal unhindered directly to the people. This endangers true democracy. Sometimes a measure of delay and inefficiency is a price that has to be paid to avoid an unhealthy centralisation of power.

One effect of Covid-19 has been a sudden and unprecedented centralisation of power, at least in peace time. This has been necessary, for a while, in order to save lives. But the disease has also highlighted the vital importance of public institutions. The NHS, the BBC, the Police, the Civil Service and Local Authorities are all absolutely vital to tackling it.

Hopefully, when it has all calmed down, the country’s debt to these organisations, and to a multitude of others, including religious and charitable ones, will result in a greater respect for their social role and an increased willingness to provide them with the money they need to do their job well. In view of the global nature of the threat, like others we face, there will hopefully also be a increased desire for more international co-operation among the world’s democracies. Part of the benefit of this could be to achieve some measure of political control over ever-more powerful international business.

There is a danger, of course, that once Government has taken increased power, it will be reluctant to give it up. It is not hard to imagine the plea being made that today’s challenges need strong leadership, action not debate, and that losing personal and institutional freedoms are sacrifices worth making if they get in the way of decisive and effective action. That way lies autocracy, and must be resisted. Another danger is a continued retreat into a narrow nationalism, in which problems are blamed on outsiders and barriers are thrown up in order to protect ourselves from the alien other.

We need to hope and pray that we learn the right lessons from Covid-19, that democratic Government survives in good health and that the world unites in confronting whatever challenges lie in the years and generations to come.

Covid-19

It feels like someone has just pressed the world’s reset button. One minute life jogs along pretty much as usual. The next, we have to start thinking in new ways about everything. The repercussions reverberate in every direction – work, health, politics, family, finance, leisure, etc. etc.. On a personal front, last week we visited a museum, went out for a family meal, did our regular volunteering with a charity and walked with our walking group; I sang at my choir’s weekly rehearsal, led a Bible study at church, attended my art group and led a funeral service. Now, none of it would be possible. In every area of life – politics, economics, business, sport – both within the UK and internationally, the same radical disruption has occurred.  Crisis deliberations are taking place, and far-reaching decisions are being made, at every level of society.

The practicalities of working out how to cope with Covid-19 are huge, but it also highlights other underlying issues. As a global pandemic, it reminds us of the unity of humanity, respecting neither national boundaries or other ethnic, cultural or religious differences that divide us. It was already becoming clear that we need to work together globally to meet the environmental and other challenges humanity faces, and this virus powerfully forces us to face up to this reality. Organizations that facilitate international co-operation, such as the United Nations, should receive the support and resources they need to do their job, and every country, even the wealthiest ones, need to recognize they cannot stand alone.

The virus is no respecter of persons in terms of who it infects, but as with many other threats to people’s welfare, it will be the poor and vulnerable who stand to suffer most. Those in insecure employment or accommodation, or on benefits, let alone any caught up in the epidemic in refugee camps or war zones, will find coping with it – even surviving it – most difficult. It shows up the damaging inequalities that divide us, and the duty of care on the part of the most privileged, both between and within nations.

The current situation dramatically demonstrates the folly of putting our whole confidence in our own achievements and abilities. An organism too small to be seen and one of the simplest forms of life explodes the myth of humanity’s self-sufficiency and our capacity to find technological solutions to all life’s problems. Science is an immensely powerful tool to improve human life, but today we have to humbly acknowledge that we are not the masters of our destiny that we might have thought. On a personal level, the virus reveals our mortality, something we accept intellectually, but are slow to acknowledge in practice. Politically, it demonstrates the limitations of those in power.

The imposed inactivity and resulting financial crisis is a huge worry to many individuals and businesses. A few will inevitably seek to take advantage of it for personal gain. But also, for those not in immediate and critical need, it provides an opportunity for reflection. As the routines of work and leisure have been removed, many of us face what is in effect a forced sabbatical or retreat, providing time for a reassessment of our priorities. What difference this will make in the long run, both personally and politically, remains to be seen, but there is a possibility, once the pandemic is over, of lessons to be learned and changes made for the better.

Life’s Instability

Sometimes sorrows seem to gang up against you. For me, recent events have made life feel more precarious then usual. It can’t all be shared in a public post like this, but the following illustrates what I am talking about.

Our volunteering with ASSIST, the Sheffield charity supporting destitute asylum seekers, has been disrupted over the last few months by the angry resignation of several experienced volunteers, provoked by disciplinary measures taken against one of them, action which most of us found difficult to comprehend. The person involved was a highly respected and valued member of our team, to whom many of us owed a lot. The inevitable results of the resignations has been disruption of the work we do and extra pressure on those who are left.

A few weeks ago the minister of our church suddenly and without warning resigned, not only from the church itself, but from ministry altogether, leaving us all bewildered. This has caused much sadness and thrown future plans and expectations into disarray, and for me, possible extra responsibilities.

Last week, one of our friends here in Chapeltown deliberately walked in front of a vehicle on the motorway and killed himself. We had got to know Ron well, having been introduced to them by our daughter shortly after we arrived here more than three years ago. We had been with them less than a week earlier. He leaves a wife, children and young grandchildren.

Events like this give rise to feelings of sadness, confusion and regret, sometimes also of anger and guilt. When they come together over a relatively short period of time they cause a general unease and insecurity. Circumstances and people that seemed stable have proved unreliable – the world has changed and I am not sure I feel at home in it any more. Of course, there are all sorts of things that cause people even greater feelings of dislocation.

On top of personal disruption, national and global instability is one of the features of our time. At the end of this week the UK is due to leave the European Union, a baffling and destabilizing event whose repercussions will be felt for years to come. In the USA, the world’s most influential democracy, rancorous division and accusations are having a deeply damaging affect on political life. Technological innovation is profoundly and rapidly revolutionizing economic and social relations. Perhaps most significant of all, global warming threatens the survival of human civilization itself.

Growing economic prosperity and political stability have for a long time provided a foundation for confidence about the future. It is becoming clear that we can no longer take these things for granted. Events that bring disorder to our personal lives, some of which are partly the consequence of these broader trends, are more difficult to cope with in such an environment.

One of the consequences of all this can be paralysis. When the normal framework for living seems to be disintegrating, it is hard to find a secure basis for doing anything. I need to remind myself of moral values that do not change, and to hold on to those. Sometimes what is needed is just courage and endurance to see things through, and not be overwhelmed by feelings of lostness and threat. We may need help from others to do that. Sometimes we can offer a steady hand of friendship to others.

The words of Jesus are apt: “Peace I leave with you; my peace I give to you. I do not give as the world gives. Do not let your hearts be troubled, and do not let them be afraid”.

Peter Shepherd (January 2020)